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July to September 2026 Article ID: NSS9957 Impact Factor:8.05 Cite Score:178 Download: 0 DOI: https://doi.org/10.63574/nss.9957 View PDf
The Rise of the Bharatiya Janata Party: Ideology, Organisation, Social Coalition and the Reconfiguration of India's Party System, 1980–2024
Vikash Kumar
Department of SCAS, Central University of Punjab, VPO Ghudda, Bathinda (Punjab)
Abstract: This paper examines
the rise of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) from a marginal national force to
India’s principal governing party and asks whether its post-2014 dominance
should be understood as a durable transformation of the party system or as a
contingent phase of electoral predominance. Drawing on major scholarship on
Hindu nationalism, ideology, party-system change, social coalitions and welfare
politics, and using Election Commission of India electoral data, the paper
develops a multi-dimensional explanation of BJP expansion. It argues that no
single factor—Hindutva, the decline of the Congress, Narendra Modi’s
leadership, welfare politics, or social engineering—adequately explains the
BJP’s trajectory. Rather, the party’s rise resulted from the interaction of
ideological mobilisation, organisational continuity, expansion across social
groups, and the restructuring of political competition following the decline of
Congress-centered politics. The analysis also distinguishes electoral dominance
from autonomous parliamentary majority. The BJP increased its Lok Sabha
representation from 161 seats in 1996 to 282 in 2014 and 303 in 2019, but fell
to 240 seats in 2024 when party was expecting more than 400 seat by raising the
slogan of 'Abki bar 400 par' despite retaining a vote share of 36.56 percent.
This divergence suggests that the BJP’s national predominance remains
substantial but is not synonymous with uninterrupted single-party majoritarian
control. The paper therefore interprets 2024 not as the end of BJP dominance,
but as evidence of its institutional and electoral limits.
